Bubble Watch: March 8, 2012 Edition

IT'S TIME TO THIN THE HERD.  IT'S TIME TO SEPARATE THE MEN FROM THE BOYS.  IT'S TIME TO SEPARATE CONTENDERS FROM PRETENDERS.  IT'S GO TIME.  IT'S NOW OR NEVER.  IT'S MUST WIN TERRITORY.  IT'S THE MOMENT OF TRUTH.  WIN AND YOU'RE STILL ALIVE BUBBLE TEAM U.  LOSE AND YOUR GOOSE IS PRETTY MUCH COOKED.


Bracket Project matrix was updated again last night.  61 brackets listed with a March 7 date which forms the basis for our Watch List (18 teams).


Watch List (# of brackets out of 61)
11 California (59) $
11 Washington (57) $
12 Colorado State (57) $
12 BYU (55) **
12 Mississippi St (48) $
12 Xavier (47)
12 South Florida (46) $
12 NU (46) $
13 Seton Hall (45) **
13 Texas (42) $
Miami Fla (33) $
Drexel (27) **
Oregon (13) $
Tennessee (9)
Iona (7) **
Dayton (5)
NC State (5) $
St Joseph's (4)

$ denotes game today
** denotes no more remaining games

Changes in Watch List
- Connecticut safely in
- Arizona down to NIT


Yesterday's Bubble Games Recap
- Connecticut defeated WVU.  Both teams unanimously in.
- Seton Hall lost to Louisville.  Top 50 RPI unlikely.  Might as well lost to Providence.
- South Florida beat Villanova.  Literally and figuratively.


Today's Bubble Games (Bubble Team Win Probability %)
Minnesota vs NU (52%) -- Go NU! Duh!
TCU vs Colorado St (66%) -- Go Ex-Cerinas!
Texas (51%) vs Iowa St -- Go Tornadoes!
South Florida (41%) vs Notre Dame -- Go Domers!
Georgia vs Mississippi St (62%)  -- Go UGAs!
Georgia Tech vs Miami Fla (73%) -- Go RPI 190 Ramblin' Wrecks!
Stanford vs California (65%) -- Go Trees!
Oregon St vs Washington (59%) -- Go POTUS BiLs!
Colorado vs Oregon (61%) --  Go Buffs!
Boston Coll vs N Carolina St (91%) -- Go Fluties!


Other Games of Interest Today
Marshall (52%) vs Tulsa  -- Want Tulsa to get into RPI Top 100.
Arkansas vs LSU (55%) -- Want LSU to keep RPI in Top 100.
Arizona vs UCLA (62%) -- Either way.  Just want winner to lose before Pac12 finals.
UC Davis vs Long Beach St (97%) -- Want LB St to lose in quarterfinals. Else win the Big West tourney.

GO U. NU!
GO U. NU!!
GO U. NU!!!
GO U. NU!!!!
GO U. NU!!!!!
GO U. NU!!!!!!
GO U. NU!!!!!!!
GO U. NU!!!!!!!!
GO U. NU!!!!!!!!!
GO U. NU!!!!!!!!!!