07 March 2012

Bubble Watch: March 7, 2012 Edition

Bracket Project matrix was updated again last night.  60 brackets listed with a March 6 date which forms the basis for our Watch List (20 teams).


Watch List (# of brackets out of 60)
11 Connecticut (59) $
11 California (58)
11 Washington (58)
12 BYU (56) **
12 Colorado State (56)
12 NU (51)
12 Mississippi St (48)
12 Xavier (45)
12 South Florida (44) $
13 Texas (43)
13 Seton Hall (36) $
Miami Fla (29)
Drexel (28) **
Oregon (12)
Tennessee (11)
Iona (8) **
Dayton (5)
St Joseph's (4)
NC State (3)
Arizona (1)

$ denotes game today
** denotes no more remaining games

Changes in Watch List
- None


Yesterday's Games Recap
- Harvard got the Ivy League berth since Princeton defeated Penn.  Good news!
- UConn and Seton Hall won first round Big East games as expected.
- St Joseph's and Dayton won first round Atlantic 10 games as expected.


Today's Games (Bubble Team Win Probability %)
- Connecticut (51%) vs West Virginia -- Both teams are pretty safe. A win locks it.
- Seton Hall (41%) vs Louisville -- We're torn.  If SH wins today and tomorrow (Marquette) then they will be Top 50 which is good for NU.  That would be ideal. 
- Villanova vs South Florida (54%) -- Go Wildcats!