06 March 2012

Bubble Watch: March 6, 2012 Edition

Bracket Project matrix was updated again as of this morning.  41 brackets listed with a March 6 date which forms the basis for our Watch List (20 teams).


Watch List (# of brackets out of 41)
11 Connecticut (40) $
11 California (39)
11 Washington (39)
12 BYU (38) **
12 Colorado State (38)
12 NU (34)
12 Mississippi St (32)
12 Texas (30)
13 South Florida (30)
13 Xavier (29)
13 Seton Hall (23) $
Drexel (21) **
Miami Fla (19)
Oregon (9)
Tennessee (9)
Iona (7) **
Dayton (5) $
St Joseph's (3) $
Arizona (1)
NC State (1)

$ denotes conf tourney game today
** no more remaining games

Changes in Watch List
- VCU in with automatic bid
- Drexel on bubble
- Connecticut and Colorado St back down on bubble


Yesterday's Games Recap
- VCU defeated Drexel.  VCU in with an automatic berth and Drexel is somewhere on bubble.  It is unclear as to where on bubble the Dragons have landed since data are affected by uncertainty of Colonial finals result.  We hope that SoP and others were correct that VCU was the desired winner. 
- Oral Roberts lost in semis and is NIT bound.
- We're hungover from our drinking game.  Rowley was all over the place, and there were mentions of NU and our NCAAs history.

Today's Games (Bubble Team Win Probability %)
Depaul vs Connecticut (79%) -- A Connecticut win puts them safely in
Providence vs Seton Hall (65%) -- The Hall is out with a loss
Pennsylvania at Princeton (73%) -- Harvard gets berth with Tiger win
Charlotte at St Joseph's (84%) -- Hawks need to go on a run
George Washington at Dayton (86%) -- Dayton needs to go on a run