26 February 2012

Bubble Watch: Feb 26, 2012 Edition

NU gained a little ground yesterday with the win at PSU.  Maybe out of Dayton for now but not important with two huge opportunities to make noise coming up.  More bubble action in store for today.  Same Watch List as yesterday which includes predictions from 25 bracketologists who have updated their crystal balls as of the 24th (18 teams).

Watch List (# of brackets out of 25)
11 - West Virgnia (24)
11 + BYU (24)
11 - Mississippi St (23)
12 - Colorado St (20)
12 + Washington (19)
12 + Xavier (18)
12 + Arizona (18)
12 + NU (18)
12 + Texas (17)
Miami FL (13)*
+ VCU (9)
Oregon (5)*
+ Dayton (5)
- LSU (3)
- NC State (3)
South Florida (3)*
Illinois (2)*
Minnesota (1)*

- denotes loss on the 24th/25th
+ denotes win on 24th/25th
* denotes teams with game today

Yesterday's Games Recap
NU won most importantly.  Colorado St and Mississippi St fell as expected so will fall back a bit.  Washington helped its case with a nice with at Wazzu.  Dayton won in a blow out and likely to gain ground.  Arizona and Texas narrowly avoided bubble bursting losses.  LSU and NC State likely off the bubble.  VCU won which means we will want them to lose early in the Colonial tourney. 


* Today's Games (5)
Florida St at Miami FL (49%) - Please FSU no wide right!
Cincinnati (47%) at South Florida (53%) - Bubble death match! (go So Fla)
Iowa at Illinois (71%) - Show some pride Illini!
Indiana at Minnesota (41%) - Hoosiers can drive final nail in coffin
Oregon (40%) at Oregon St - C'mon Craig Robinson!

Note: bubble teams shown with kenpom.com expected win percentages.