Bubble Watch: Feb 25, 2012 Edition

Lots of action this weekend particularly on Saturday.  Watch List updated to include predictions from 25 bracketologists who have updated their crystal balls as of the 24th (18 teams).

Watch List (# of brackets out of 25)
11 - West Virgnia (24)
11 BYU (24)*
11 Mississippi St (23)*
12 Colorado St (20)*
12 Washington (19)*
12 Xavier (18)*
12 Arizona (18)*
12 NU (18)*
12 Texas (17)*
Miami FL (13)
VCU (9)*
Oregon (5)
Dayton (5)*
LSU (3)*
NC State (3)*
South Florida (3)
Illinois (2)
Minnesota (1)

- denotes loss on the 24th
* denotes teams with game today

Changes in Watch List
Cincinnati moved up off bubble
West Virginia moved down to bubble
St Joseph's and Central Florida moved down into NIT

Yesterday's Games Recap
West Virginia nearly benefited from the 1st half benching of four Marquette starters "violating team rules."  But the 'eers frittered away a big half time lead at home and lost by a point.  We'd say we feel bad for WVU, but that would be a lie.  Their loss could be our gain.  Besides misery loves company.


* Today's Games (12)
NU (54%) at Penn St  - Reverse the curse!
Portland at BYU (97%) - Bad loss = bubble burst
Miss St (19%) at Bama - Bama is in = Roll Tide
Colorado St (29%) at San Diego St - Bad road team
Wash (46%) at Wash St - Wazzous owe us!
Richmond at Xavier (76%) - A bad loss = burst bubble
UCLA at Arizona (69%) - Loss here = Need P12 Tourney Run
Texas (89%) at Texas Tech - A bad loss = burst bubble
George Mason at VCU (78%) - Last VCU game = Go GMU!
UMass at Dayton (63%) - Hanging by thread = Must W
LSU (49%) at Ole Miss - Must W opportunity knocks
NC State (37%) at Clemson - Need 2 Ws in 3 coinflips

Note: bubble teams shown with kenpom.com expected win percentages.