Bubble Watch: Feb 23, 2012 Edition

Bracket Project updated its matrix last night.  16 bracketologists have updated their crystal balls as of the 22nd and 15 more have the 21st as their most recent update.  We'll use those sets as basis for updating our watch list which remarkably is still 20 teams strong. Pluses denote wins on 22nd or thereafter.  Minuses denote losses.  Good wins/bad losses are double your pleasure.


Bubble Team Watch List (# of brackets out of 16/31)

11 BYU (15/30)
11 Mississippi St (13/28)
11 Cincinnati (13/25) 
12 NU (12/26)
12 Washington (12/22)
12 Colorado St (12/14)
12 Arizona (10/19)
12 Xavier (9/21)
12 Miami FL (8/20)
Texas (8/18)
+ VCU (5/9)
- Central FL (5/8)
-- St Joseph's (5/7)
- South Florida (5/7)
Illinois (3/5)
- Minnesota (3/5)
Oregon (3/4)
NC State (1/7)
+ Dayton (1/5)
+ LSU (1/2)

Note: George Mason also popped up on some lists but only as an AQ from the Colonial. 


Changes in Watch List
Connecticut, WVU*, Alabama, Seton Hall moved up off bubble
Central FL, Oregon, Dayton, LSU moved up onto bubble


* WVU lost to ND last night so they are probably still on bubble once bracketologists update their predictions.



Tonight's Games (Win Probability %)
Louisville at Cincinnati (54%) -- A rare time we will root for Rick Pitino
USC at Arizona (94%)  -- Ah Kevin O'Neill - the gift that keeps on giving! 
BYU at Gonzaga (64%) -- Only upside for BYU; a win puts them in the field