21 March 2009

NCAAs Round 1 Analysis

It is a common pastime for fans to look at results in the NCAAs as an indicator of conference strength. I am no different. Below is a comparison of actual first round results by major conference compared to predicted results (by seed).

Actual Predicted Difference
Round 1
B12 6-0 5-1 +1

BgE 6-1 7-0 -1
P10 5-1 4-2 +1
B10 4-3 4-3 +0
ACC 3-4 6-1 -3
SEC 1-2 1-2 +0

Round 2 (based on Round 1 results and seeds)
BgE ??? 5-1 ??
B12 ??? 3-3 ??
ACC ??? 2-1 ??
B10 ??? 1-3 ??
P10 ??? 1-4 ??
SEC ??? 0-1 ??


Biggest conclusion from Round 1 -- ACC was overrated.

No comments: